When an asset’s price reaches a new all-time high, traders plough in as they see a chance to ride the trade higher. The same was seen after the price of Bitcoin (BTC) broke over the $20,000 mark on December 16. By December 19, the price had reached an intraday record at $24,197.46, a 21% rally in four days.
This sudden swing in the price of Bitcoin draws traders who use options by buying downside insurance to try to amplify their profits or hedge their current positions. This resulted in an open market in Bitcoin options that reached a new all-time high earlier this week at $6.5 billion. Starting with bitcoin’s sharp momentum.
let us take an example.
BTC/USD
After the market broke through the $20,000 overhead resistance, Bitcoin picked up steam, but the fast growth of the last few days forced the relative strength index (RSI) far into the region of overbought. In the next two days, this indicates the likelihood of a consolidation or a correction.
Typically, when the price breaks above a crucial threshold, such as an all-time high, the breakout level is turned down and retested. In this scenario, from the $25,000 to $26,000 resistance range, the BTC/USD pair can turn down and re-test the breakout level at $20,000.
If the market vigorously bounces from this support, the bulls will again attempt to revive the upward trajectory. If they thrive, that would mean that the current floor for the pair is $20,000.
Contrary to this presumption, if the bears fall below the exponential moving average of 20 days ($20,356) and the $19,500 uphold, the pair might drop to the simple moving average of 50 days at $17,960.1
ETH/USD
On December 16, Ether (ETH) broke out of the ascending triangle pattern, and on December 17, the market rallied to $676,325, but the bulls could not maintain the higher levels.
Although the bulls did not cause $622,807 for the price to drop below the immediate support, the price is trapped between $622,807 and $676,325.
If the bulls can catapult the market beyond $676,325, the next leg of the uptrend that could meet the $763,614 pattern goal could begin. The upsloping moving averages indicate that the upper hand is on the bulls.
Contrarily, the ETH/USD pair could decline to the 20-day EMA ($599) if the bears lower the price to $622,807. If the market bounces back with intensity from this boost, the bulls will attempt to revive the upward trend.
Cryptocurrencies may go up in value, but many investors see them as mere speculations, not real investments. The reason? Just like real currencies, cryptocurrencies generate no cash flow, so for you to profit, someone has to pay more for the currency than you did.
That’s what’s called “the greater fool” theory of investment. Contrast that to a well-managed business, which increases its value over time by growing the profitability and cash flow of the operation.
Also, read Vitalik Influencing Crypto via Ethereum!